Published in Public Opinion Quarterly, 2022
Using the registration-based samples and disposition codes of state level exit polls conducted by the National Election Pool in 12 states we show systematic non-response by Republicans that was a significant contributor to the bias in pre-election polls.
Published in Science Advances, 2020
Analyzing a total of over 1 million responses collected daily in the spring and summer of 2020 reveals not only that partisanship is more important than public health concerns for explaining individuals’ social distancing during the COVID-19 pandemic, but also that the effect of partisanship has grown over time – especially among Republicans.
Published in Legislative Studies Quarterly, 2020
I leverage the roll-out of broadband internet and the 2002 Congressional redistricting to show that legislative behavior becomes more nationalized in high-information environments. Legislators redistricted to an area with more broadband connectivity act more in line with their parties, the President, and aligned interest groups.
Published in British Journal of Political Science, 2020
Merging together data on the roll-out of broadband, legislative elections, candidate characteristics, and individual voters, I show that voters in high-information environments are less likely to make voting decisions for members of Congress that reward good behavior or punish bad behavior. Voters under these conditions cast more straight tickets, produce a smaller incumbency advantage, and are unresponsive to changes in their legislator`s party-line voting.
Published in Journal of Politics, 2019
Leveraging a rolling cross-section of more than 325,000 interviews of US presidential primary voters, we show that there is little evidence for popular conceptions of electoral “momentum”: where early wins and losses by candidates have an outsized impact on later voter opinion.
Published in Political Behavior, 2017
This paper discusses theoretical and statistical issues that can arise in testing hypotheses regarding heterogeneous treatment effects, and provide practical advice for researchers to avoid potential sources of bias.
Published in International Journal of Press/Politics, 2014
Using an inventive survey-experiment, we show that there is consumer demand for negative and horse-race news frames. These results run contrary to the expectation that these frames are the byproduct of newsroom norms.